by Tracy Turner

The Looming Crisis: Oil Addiction and Agricultural Collapse Threaten Global Food Security

• By 2054: Expected global oil depletion.
• 2007-2017: Olive biodiesel could have mitigated crises caused by reliance on fossil fuels.
• Estimated Starvation Rates: Projected increases in global food insecurity linked to oil dependency.

Longevity of olive trees makes olive biodiesel more practical, economical than other biofuel crops

Next time someone asks you for an alternative to coal, nuclear or fossil oil energy, talk to them about olive tree biodiesel energy.

Olive tree-based biofuel. Why Olive-based biodiesel? Plant a grove of trees ONE time, harvest biodiesel for 200-400 YEARS.

Olive Trees live 200-400 years, sometimes more; the oldest olive tree on Earth is nearly 5000 years old.

The oil can be catalyzed cold or processed hot into Bio-Diesel. The remaining pulp can be fermented into ethyl alcohol. The wood chips of the pruned limbs can be turned into methanol. The pits (stones, seeds) can be burned as biomass fuel to generate heat or electricity (substitute for coal).

They can be grown with minimum water as they are drought tolerant.

They can be grown in the extreme Southern US, South America, China, Australia and Africa, mainly in the deserts but also in areas of the tropics that are not overly saturated with water, areas between 30-45 degrees latitude in both hemispheres and the winter freeze is above 19 degrees F.

The oil, coal, natural gas and nuclear energy industries all lie to politicians, lie to the public. An olive tree-based energy industry would not have dirty secrets to hide and lie about.

Why Olive Bio-Diesel is better than all Bio-fuels... Imagine how much wealth (jobs) would stay in America if we cancelled literally all of our oil contracts with the Middle East and kept that money here... By growing all of our fuel energy domestically, we could keep more money and jobs onshore. Lose much of our fiscal deficit, create a whole new industry in America.

Growing the right biofuel energy could capture so many tons of CO2 Greenhouse Gas that most people cannot fathom the amount, with the CO2 negative just a built-in, costless side-effect. Olive Trees are naturally occurring CO2 storage filters, solar powered.

Olive Culture, growing Olives to produce Biodiesel, Ethanol is economically more feasible than all other Biofuels combined. The world's oldest Olive Tree is between 2,000-5,000 years old! Plant once, harvest for hundreds, possibly thousands of years.

The long life-span of Olive Trees makes the economic model far more feasible than all other plant-based biofuels such as corn ethanol. Corn lives for months then dies and needs replanting. Olives live at least 200-300 years before the need to replant arises.

Olive Trees are CO2 negative and O2 positive. Olive Trees can live as long as 5000 years before dying, with many farm trees living hundreds of years. Fuels that can be made from Olive trees include Bio Diesel, Methanol and Ethanol. Olive Bio-Diesel can be farmed on most of the farmland of California, the U.S. deep South Bible-belt states and Florida.

Olive Trees are drought tolerant, requiring minimum drip irrigation, are naturally immune to most insects and most diseases. Drought tolerance, insect and disease resistance and long-life-span make olives the most low-input, high-output biofuel plant there is.

The world will run out of oil by 2054, but between now and 2054, oil will become one of the most expensive substances known to man. It has become a finite resource which we use much too fast. Olive bioenergy is a renewable resource, olive biodiesel derived from a perennial crop. America needs to grow Olive Trees on a scale and magnitude similar to when we once built hydro-electric dams. Currently, we have a few olive trees for fruit and culinary olive oil; we need to expand those current trees many thousands of percent into a new bioenergy source.

Super-High-Density (SHD) Varietals of Olives can be planted to yield 495 gallons of biodiesel per year per acre. When Columbus landed on Hispaniola in the Americas in 1492, his crew planted 3 orange trees. As of 2012, oranges are so commonplace in the Americas that farmers are removing older trees. We need to make olives more commonplace than oranges in all the climates suitable for olives. The U.S. is going to run out of oil; the U.S. can plant millions of acres with Super-High-Density (SHD) Varietals of Olives and produce 6,750 gallons of biodiesel per acre for 200-400 years or more. This is the least amount of labor method to produce biofuel.

Other noteworthy biofuel/biodiesel crops are: Jatropha curcas, Castor Bean, Millettia pinnata, Jojoba, Moringa oleifera, Algae, Citrullus colocynthis, Simarouba, Flax, Madhuca indica and Calophyllum inophyllum.

Olive Biodiesel Biofuel Bioenergy
Olive Bio-Diesel © 2007, 2024 Tracy N. Turner

If you are a farmer, horticulturist, environmentalist, environmental philanthropist and/or botanist interested in contacting me, I can be reached via rare trees AT g mail dot com.

In 2007, amidst a wave of energy white papers declaring that "there was not enough oil in an olive to be a lucrative renewable biofuel," I decided to challenge the status quo. I created a humble, self-coded webpage dedicated to the remarkable Olea europaea, showcasing its long lifespan—up to 1,500 years! If one olive tree can produce olive oil biodiesel sustainably over centuries, isn't it worth reconsidering its potential as a biofuel? As the discourse around olive biodiesel and sustainable fuel evolves, it’s time to reevaluate the untapped possibilities of olive biofuel in the broader landscape of renewable energy.

Summary of Oil Depletion and Starvation Math

Oil Depletion Math

• Current Oil Reserves: Approximately 1,000 billion barrels.
• Annual Consumption Rate: 35 billion barrels/year.
• Depletion Rate: Estimated at 2% per year.
• Projected Oil Reserves:
  
  • 2045: ~641 billion barrels
  • 2065: ~236 billion barrels
  • 2085: ~87 billion barrels
• Impact on Agriculture: A linear model suggests a 0.5% reduction in farm output for every 1% drop in oil availability.

Starvation Math

• Projected Famine Deaths:
  
  • 2024: 10 million deaths
  • 2034: 20 million deaths
  • 2044: 40 million deaths
  • 2054: 80 million deaths
  • 2064: 160 million deaths
  • 2074: 320 million deaths
  • 2084: 640 million deaths
  • 2094: 1.3 billion deaths

Implications

The combination of declining oil reserves and agricultural collapse presents a dire future for food security:

• By 2045, localized food scarcity affects vulnerable populations.
• By 2065, widespread food shortages lead to routine starvation.
• By 2085, a potential global food supply collapse could result in 40-50% of the population facing severe food scarcity.

Contributing Factors

• Decline in Arable Land: From 3.5 billion hectares in 1400 AD to 1.5 billion hectares today (57% reduction).
• Nutrient Shortages: Phosphorus and potassium depletion threatens crop yields.
• Environmental Degradation: Unsustainable agricultural practices and climate change exacerbate the crisis.

Conclusion

Without systemic change and immediate action, the current trajectory suggests a grim future of increased starvation due to resource depletion and agricultural decline.

Dear Dr. Lopes,

Your poor, eidetic memory...

It is rare that I get to lecture you. I've whined about oil depletion. I've probably mentioned Olives as biomass and liquid biofuel and carbon sponges. They can absorb more than mere Carbon; besides, I like Carbon. Lignin is dear to my heart.

People's attitudes about Ick will kill us all, one day. Yes, I'm a long haired, bearded gnome preaching about the end of the world---with a twist. Jesus, hallelujah!

So, here's part of the deal. Millions of scientists and intellectuals are ignoring converting to Olive Biodiesel. It takes too long, I am THE GREAT PROFIT, I say Olives grow too slowly (let’s wait to plant slow-growing trees). The cost of the:y investment is too high, "they say." They, The Great Profits. Death by bean counters.

N: NO₃^- or NH₄⁺
P: H₂PO₄^- or HPO₄^2-
K: K⁺
S: SO₄^2- is too great, the sky is falling, circle and take cover -- "they say."

Yes, the global Shortfalls and oil depletion could, potentially, with other compounding problems (war), et al -olivebiodiesel. kill us all.

A long brown-haired, green-eyed monster reared its ugly head:

"Go forth, far and wide. Gather all feces and all urine, from all species. Feed it to your Olives, instead of the deep blue sea. You will hardly notice the time as you work to reverse the flow. The Olives will have more Lignin and fruit in a lesser time."

Yes, yes, The Green-eyed brown haired is a "god" of PROFITS, let us ignore him another 28.5 years and fight may war, the Hunger Wars.

My Friend Tim Dundon in Altadena had a Compost Pile in Altadena, so big it was visible from the Space Shuttle. It even had a certain, magical human quality to it outsiders did not savvy.

For Olive Biodiesel biofuel, One and Two will doo... To the ew, it is ick" naysayers. Flocculation and aerobic bacteria have been turning ick into rich black loam soil, earthworms and mycorrhizae for millions and millions of years. We have gotten in the way, flushing a valuable, dynamic resource into rivers, lakes, streams and oceans - the real ick. The secret to remediating ick into socioeconomically valuable farm fertilizer is flocculation. Everyone must flocculate, as often as possible. There is nothing icky about it, it is part of life. I wish you could have met Tim Dundan,

In a world where “ick” gets a bad rap, Naysayers wrinkle noses, “What’s that mushy crap?” But flocculation’s magic turns sludge into gold, With earthworms and bacteria, a story retold.

For millions of years, they’ve worked in the muck, Creating rich loam—so let’s change our luck! Let’s flocculate often, with a wink and a cheer, There’s nothing icky here, just life’s cycle, my dear!

So here’s to Tim Dundan, and muck we embrace Turning waste into wonder, let’s all join the race! With laughter and soil, we’ll dance in the goo, Flocculation’s the secret, and it’s waiting for you!

You are much admired,

Tracy N. Turner
https://olivebiodiesel.com/olivebiodiesel.html

PS - Someday, Shell, BP and Phillips will all have groves and conveyers turning waste into:

N: NO₃^- or NH₄⁺
P: H₂PO₄^- or HPO₄^2-
K: K⁺
S: SO₄^2-

They will charge us and the government for each and every step of the way.

Viability of Olive Tree Farming for Sustainable Biodiesel Production

Optimal Region for Olive Growing

Mediterranean Basin

The Mediterranean Basin remains the classic heart of olive farming, known for its hot, dry summers and mild, wet winters. Leading producers such as Spain, Italy, and Greece excel in olive cultivation due to their rich agricultural traditions, which create ideal conditions for high-quality olive oil production.

Rise into Non-Traditional Cultivation Areas

Because olive trees prefer warm, frost-free climates, there are new opportunities for expansion into non-traditional areas. Their drought tolerance and ability to thrive in poor soils further enhance their potential in regions previously overlooked for olive cultivation.

1. California, USA: A Mediterranean-like climate allows for olive farming, particularly in the Central Valley and northern regions. Improved water management and land conservation practices are driving increased olive production.
2. Australia: The Australian olive industry is rapidly expanding, especially in South Australia and Victoria, where optimal temperatures and soil types facilitate successful cultivation. Rising domestic demand and export potential are key growth factors.
3. South Africa: The Western Cape is ideal for olive production, with government subsidies helping farmers cultivate crops in previously unsuitable areas thanks to the warm climate.
4. South America: Countries like Argentina and Chile, particularly in regions like Mendoza with a Mediterranean climate, are well-positioned for olive expansion due to favorable soil conditions and agricultural expertise.
5. Middle East and North Africa: Nations such as Tunisia, Jordan, and Turkey are significant olive producers. By merging centuries-old traditions with modern techniques, these countries can enhance both yield and sustainability.
6. Eastern Europe and the Balkans: Rising temperatures from climate change are making parts of Bulgaria, Croatia, and Albania suitable for olive cultivation, offering opportunities for agricultural diversification.
7. Southern USA: States like Texas and Florida have favorable weather conditions with minimal frost risk, presenting opportunities for olive farming and diverse agricultural practices.
8. Asia: Southern regions of India and China are beginning to explore olive cultivation, driven by interests in biodiesel and sustainable farming practices.

Geopolitical Background

Geopolitical factors significantly impact agricultural practices, including olive farming. Many Mediterranean countries face challenges such as water shortages and political instability, raising questions about the sustainability of traditional agricultural models. In contrast, the expansion of olive farming into new regions can foster economic stability and reduce dependence on volatile oil markets.

Climate Change and Resource Distribution

Climate change is reshaping agricultural zones, making previously unsuitable areas viable for olive cultivation. Many regions can anticipate longer growing seasons, necessitating enhanced water management and sustainable agricultural practices to adapt to these changes.

Environmental Considerations

Olive Cultivation Has a Low Carbon Footprint

Olive trees require less water than most conventional crops and are naturally drought-resistant. Their deep root systems help prevent soil erosion and contribute positively to biodiversity, making them ecologically viable in sustainable farming frameworks.

Biodiesel: A Renewable Energy Source

Olive oil biodiesel is a cleaner alternative to fossil fuels, with significantly lower greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional diesel, highlighting its importance in climate change mitigation.

The Ecological Footprint of Contemporary Energy Use

1. Lithium Mining: The demand for electric vehicles drives increased lithium mining, which depletes ecosystems and water resources, posing significant environmental risks.
2. Fossil Fuel Addiction: Conventional energy systems, often promoted by figures like Elon Musk, rely heavily on fracked methane and coal, both of which are finite and ecologically damaging.
3. Internal Combustion Engine Pollution: The combustion of fossil fuels contributes to air pollution, negatively impacting public health and exacerbating global warming.

Olive Biodiesel and Traditional Energy Sources

Characteristics of Olive Biodiesel

• Renewable: Olive trees capture carbon throughout their life cycle, making olive biodiesel a sustainable alternative to fossil fuels.
• Energy Self-Sufficiency: Increasing olive farming reduces dependence on imported oil, enhancing national energy security.
• Economic Diversification: Olive farming provides farmers with supplementary income sources, particularly in economically challenged regions.

Challenges with Current Alternatives

While electric vehicles offer innovative solutions, they often overlook the environmental costs of lithium mining and the necessary infrastructure for a fully electric transport network. There are still significant gaps in agricultural applications for electric tractors and machinery.

Socioeconomic Implications

Employment Opportunities and Rural Development

Investment in olive cultivation can create job opportunities in rural areas, revitalizing communities with stable incomes. The olive oil industry has the potential to enhance local economies through processing facilities and export channels.

Food Security

As concerns over global food security rise, olive trees can significantly contribute to improving local food systems. They provide nutritious food and oil, reducing reliance on imported products and promoting local agricultural resilience.

In conclusion, olive tree farming is well-positioned for sustainable biodiesel production. With strategic expansion into non-traditional regions and a commitment to environmentally friendly practices, olive cultivation can play a vital role in promoting energy independence, enhancing food security, and supporting rural development globally.

The Oversight of Olive Biodiesel
This lengthy growth cycle, combined with a perceived high investment cost, makes many other options far more attractive; therefore, the concept of olive biodiesel is hardly ever discussed in most contemporary renewable energy discourses. A potential resource, it is one that is overlooked by millions of scientists and intellectuals throughout the world. Such an oversight constitutes a great missed opportunity—one that could play a very important role when the world faces further depletion of oil and other environmental crises.

Benefits of Olive Trees
Besides giving us oil, olive trees capture carbon, storing not just pure carbon but an array of nutrients that help with soil health; their biomass contains particularly useful lignin. Lignin is crucial in many functions to the plant and in the environment, enhancing soil structure and promoting biodiversity. This has to be taken seriously, especially at a time when there is a rapid trend toward resource scarcity and environmental devastation.

Cultural Barriers to Waste Management
The second is a cultural barrier: societal aversion to "icky" wastes. The so-called undesired organic waste can become a resource if managed appropriately. For example, flocculation—the process of causing organic matter to clump together—has been practiced for centuries by nature. This process could easily turn alleged waste into nutrient-rich dirt, an example of how what is conventionally seen as waste is actually very interactive and valued.

Accelerating Olive Tree Growth
It is defeatism to say that we must wait for olive trees, which grow very slow, to become sources for biodiesel production. Instead, ways must be sought out to accelerate their growth through novel methods of waste management. Feeding olive trees with organic waste—including human and animal excreta—may improve their productivity and hence reduce the time frame for biodiesel production.

Transformative Sustainable Practices
Historical examples, such as the great composting of Tim Dundon in Altadena, remind us that sustainable practices can be truly transformative. Indeed, Dundon's compost pile was so large it was visible from space—a testament to the immense possibility organic waste management carries when embraced, not spurned.

Reevaluating Waste Management
Paving the way for mainstream olive biodiesel will need to be founded on innovative thinking and an acceptance that challenges conventional norms. It is now time to reevaluate our relationship with waste and consider flocculation as part of life's cycle, not as some kind of occurrence that should be avoided. We do hope that by embracing this kind of thinking, the potential of olive biodiesel would be tapped and various pressing challenges of our planet moderated.

A Call to Action
This is not a cry for help but an olive industry call to arms for all concerned about sustainability and ecological resilience. The time to act is now, and we must begin by viewing waste as a resource while championing practices that promote ecological health and advance our quest for renewable energy solutions.

Call to resarch actions, Olive Culture Science

How can innovative pollution remediation techniques in olive farming enhance the production of high-quality olive oil and other food products?

What economic opportunities arise from transforming olive by-products (such as pomace and leaves) into value-added food products or functional ingredients?

How does the integration of olive cultivation with renewable energy initiatives, like bioenergy production from waste, impact overall economic viability for farmers?

What potential exists for developing new markets for olive-derived energy products, such as biodiesel from olive oil waste?

How do emerging consumer trends in health and sustainability influence the market demand for olives and olive-derived foods?

What are the benefits of utilizing olive waste in the production of natural fertilizers or bioplastics, and how can this create new revenue streams?

In what ways can advancements in olive breeding technology lead to higher yields and better nutritional profiles in both food and energy outputs?

How can collaboration between the olive industry and food innovation sectors drive the development of new spin-off products, such as health supplements or specialty foods?

What is the economic potential of establishing agro-tourism ventures that highlight sustainable olive farming and its associated food and energy products?

How do government policies supporting sustainable agriculture impact the growth of markets for olive food products and renewable energy initiatives?

The Vital Role of Olive Trees in Fighting Bee Decline

Colony Collapse Disorder and the more general decline in bee populations can be seen as an existential risk for the world's agriculture and biodiversity. Not taking immediate measures may lead to subtle cascades in ecosystems and food production that we will hardly have time to adapt to. Indeed, worldwide dissemination of olive cultivation would be an environmentally friendly solution not only for bees but for farming practices in general.

Olive Trees: A Safe Haven for Bees
The olive tree is an important agricultural and ecological feature of the Mediterranean region. Bees often seek shelter in trunks or root cavities. This natural sheltered environment protects them from rain and extreme temperatures, providing nesting and foraging necessary for their survival. The spread of olive cultivation allows bees to develop new habitats lost due to urbanization and intensive farming methods.

Low-Pesticide Environments
Management of olive groves should involve minimal chemical intervention, developing a low-pesticide environment. This is crucial for survival; organic farming practices in olives can support biodiversity instead of relying on monocultures that depend heavily on chemicals, thus reducing deadly exposure and increasing survival probabilities for bees.

Food Security and Biodiversity
The lessons learned from expanding olive culture are vital not only for bees but also for global food security. Olive trees, which are resistant to adverse weather and poor soils, provide reliable food in regions where agriculture is challenging. By introducing olive farming into local economies, we foster sustainable practices that benefit both humans and bees. Healthy bee populations enhance pollination, increasing the yield of many crops, which in turn improves local economies and biodiversity.

Climate Resilience
The olive tree is resilient to climate change, capable of withstanding drought and extreme temperatures. This makes it an optimal candidate for expansion in a warming world. As traditional habitats for bees disappear, olive groves can serve as climate-adapted ecosystems, providing stability for bees to thrive. Promoting olive culture worldwide will harmonize agricultural needs with ecological preservation.

The expansion of olive cultivation could be one of the most important methods for tackling CCD and the ongoing decline of bee populations. Olive trees help create natural habitats, establish low-pesticide environments, and increase biodiversity. They not only save the bees but also ensure the health of our ecosystems. Without this expansion, we risk losing not only bees but the intertwined web of life that sustains our planet. It is time to recognize the potential of olive culture as a mainstay in the struggle against extinction.

-###-

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© Schuyler Ebbets/Tracy Turner - www.thepeoplesvoice.org /// www.olivebiodiesel.com (respectively).. All rights reserved.

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